In Week 3 the Dogs Get Respect

We are finally into the data. Weeks 1 and 2 were lackluster at best and the reason is clear. There is no data. I predict that weeks 3-18 will be much better, and it hopefully starts today. I was able to use my two java programs finally with the data that has...

Week 2 is the Bounceback Week

I’ve always said that NFL weeks 1 and 2 are the hardest to predict, followed by the last week of the season. There is simply no good data in the first two weeks, and the last week is a joke as the good teams are resting starters for the playoffs and often could...

Looking at the Week One Picks!

Yesterday was 9/11, so let’s first take a brief moment of silence for the brave people who perished on that terrible day. OK, now that we have done that, let’s use the famous phrase from that day “LET’S ROLL” to move back to football and...

Welcome to Year 4 of MPI Testing!

I cannot believe have fast the time has gone. In 2018 I began on a journey to test the NFL prediction algorithm I invented by predicting games in advance. This means that I have now rated games in three consecutive NFL seasons with an approach that uniquely includes...

Ranking the Top NFL Handicappers

Picking the correct NFL team to beat the spread is a very challenging endeavor. Some call it the most difficult task in sports. Vegas is pretty good at making the teams equal with the line, and the vast majority of handicappers ultimately fall back to 50% success...

Lucky Week 7?

Week 6 was a humdrum 5-5, and so I am reducing the picks this week to only 7. Lowering the number of picks, or being slightly more selective in picking games, can lead to a higher overall percentage over time, and I am tired of two weeks in a row at .500. We did get...