ABOUT THE SYSTEM
In its first year of official testing (2018/19 NFL season) the MPI system succeeded beyond all expectations, with a record after the Super Bowl of 54 wins, 41 losses, and 3 pushes. This is an impressive 56.84% (+905) against the spread in picking sides! Things improved even more the second year (2019/20 NFL season) when the record was 58-38-4 (60.42%, +1586). In this second year of testing, Dr. John F Murray also won the World Series of Handicapping, earning the champions ring and cash price, placed 3rd in the RX Forum Hilton Style Super Contest, and took fifth in the world at the Sports Watch Monitor. The winning only continued into year 3. So after three years of predicting NFL games and a handful of Super Bowl games beginning in 2003, Dr. Murray's overall record against the spread is now 212-154, a 57.92% success rate with a point total of +4372.
Read on this site all about why this system works so well. I will keep predicting games in this 4th year, the 2021 NFL season. Most are lucky to get even slightly over 50% in predicting against a known line, but we are at 58%!
John F Murray, PhD - AKA The Football Shrink
FootballShrink.com is the culmination of Dr. John F Murray’s 17 years of research on the science of football performance. In the early 2000s, Dr. Murray invented a new statistic called “The Mental Performance Index,” or “MPI,” to comprehensively rate the performance of a football team including how well they had performed mentally. The purpose was to expand our precision in understanding football team performance in order to help coaches and teams perform better and win more games. This work resulted in a book also called “The Mental Performance Index” in 2011 and revised in 2013.
Beginning in 2013, Dr. Murray added a new dimension to the MPI by adapting it to predict future NFL games. After five years of serious research and analyses of nearly 10,000 NFL games over nearly 40 years, Dr. Murray developed the algorithm and began posting select picks each week of the 2018 and 2019 NFL seasons and has made a total of 198 picks so far. He continues this prediction process into the 2020 season.
The absolute best football handicappers in the world average 52% success in picking sides against a known line. Dr. Murray believes he can do better, and FootballShrink.com is the site where his select picks are posted before games and archived to track progress. Dr. Murray’s picks have fared very well so far (57% success in 2018 and 60% success in 2019) and continued success will provide clear additional evidence about how important mental performance is in football and all sports. Since Dr. Murray’s predictions rely heavily upon an adapted version of the MPI, he believes this unique data allows him to do better than the best football handicappers in the world. Let the fun challenge continue in 2020 as we enter season three of making picks!